It has been a very long time since I’ve written any political posts and I think I’ve deleted most or all of the ones from years past. It isn’t want I want this website to be about and it is kind of impossible to talk about politics without a negative tone. I don’t really know why I am choosing to write a political article now, if it isn’t your thing that’s cool. Just keep moving. For the rest of you, I’m going to go out on a limb and predict Hillary Clinton will be the next resident and it comes down to one simple reason: Public perception.
Let’s just get it out of the way now, I don’t like Clinton or Trump and don’t really know much about Gary Johnson other than he isn’t Clinton or Trump. But what I do know about this election cycle, and really the last several election cycles, is that the Democrats are doing a better job of controlling public perception of opposing candidates than Republicans are.
You’ve probably heard many times how Trump is a racist based on his comments about illegal immigrants. The implication here is that Trump is the only racist candidate. Never is Hillary Clinton’s long history of racist comments mentioned. Just Google “Hillary Clinton racist” if you want to see who she is.
You’ve heard that Trump changes his positions to win votes. That he is a lifetime Democrat that is running as a Republican and only supported typically Republican positions in order to secure the nomination. Clinton never flip-flops…right? Just lookup her history with the North American Free Trade Act and gay marriage.
You’ve heard that Trump is an idiot. Again, the implication is that he is the ONLY idiot on the ballot. Never mind that when asked about wiping her email server Clinton replied “with like a cloth or something?” Really? Never mind that the FBI Director said she was extremely careless in her use of the server. But Trump is the only dumb one.
You’ve seen reports of all the times the Trump campaign has lied and used half-truths to cover up mistakes and dumb things Trump or his staff have done. Clinton would never lie like that right? Not about her classified emails, Benghazi, being under sniper fire in the Middle East, or many other things, certainly not.
The bottom line is that most of the things you have heard about Trump are true or at least partially true. The problem is that Clinton is guilty of all the same things but no one is talking about it. And that is why public perception is that Trump is some disgusting school yard bully and Clinton is left unscrutinized by the public at large. As best as I can gauge from my friends, the conservatives are disgusted by Trump and really dislike Clinton and so some of them will likely vote for Clinton. The liberals are disgusted by Trump and maybe they don’t trust Clinton but they will vote for her over Trump any day.
That is why, unless something big rocks the public perception between now and November, Clinton will win and Trump will be a distant 2nd with Gary Johnson coming in 3rd garnering nearly all of the “Sensible Human Being” voting bloc.